Tropical storm likely to form, roll toward US Gulf coast

Tropical wave could affect western Caribbean

It has a small chance to develop into either a subtropical or tropical storm.

As of Saturday evening, there was a pretty good chance we'll have Tropical Storm Michael in the southern Gulf early next week.

The forecast path for Tropical Depression 14 as of Sunday morning, October 7. A northward motion should continue across the east-central Gulf of Mexico through Tuesday, before a gradual northeastward turn is possible late Tuesday into Wednesday.

The Hurricane Center noted that hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles.

If it forms as anticipated, it could bring wet weather to South Florida and have a direct impact somewhere on the northern Gulf coast, including the Panhandle. While it could strengthen to a tropical storm, it will encounter wind shear.

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The National Hurricane Center at 4 p.m. CDT issued its first advisory on the storm, which is getting better organized over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

There remains no threat to land as the hurricane continues to pace around in the open Atlantic waters.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

Once this system gets thrown eastward by a cold front, however, we could be looking at some real fall air next weekend.

Residents along the Gulf should keep an eye on the system, which is near the northeastern coast of Honduras and drifting to the northwest.

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