Arizona Republicans Sue to Limit Mail-In Ballot Counting

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One race - District 28 - is still too close to call.

Though the vast majority of Arizona voters cast their ballots early by mail, those who receive early ballots but then drop them off in person at polling stations on or close to Election Day can jam up the system. "The race has tightened and it's fitting that the victor will be decided based on who can best turn out out their voters on Election Day".

Arizona's nationally-watched and incredibly tight Senate race between Republican Martha McSally and Democrat Kristin Sinema may not have a declared victor until Thursday or even next week because, ironically, the state's voters like to cast their ballots early.

Democrats hope Sinema can reverse a decade-long losing streak in all Arizona statewide races.

With a decisive loss for Garcia on Tuesday and an Associated Press-reported victory for Republican secretary of state candidate Steve Gaynor - his opponent, Katie Hobbs, has not conceded - Sinema's contest is one of the last opportunities for Arizona Democrats to score a statewide office. Just one day before voters head to the polls to make a final decision, she's ahead by just one point.

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Sinema and McSally are battling to fill the seat being left open by outgoing Republican Sen. Jeff Flake, a Republican who decided not to run for re-election because he realized his criticism of President Donald Trump made it impossible for him to survive politically. Assuming that trend holds and most of the uncounted ballots are in Pima and Maricopa, the remaining ballots could favor Sinema enough to put her over the top.

Ninety-three percent of Democrats back Sinema, while 85 percent of Republicans support McSally. As of Wednesday morning, Republicans have secured 16 and Democrats 13. Sinema had responded it would not bother her if she did so. "We think Martha McSally leads in that vote by about 949 votes, based on what we know about those counties and the votes counted so far".

Both Sinema (88 percent) and McSally supporters (88 percent) have a high degree of vote certainty, and equal numbers of Democrats (50 percent) and Republicans (50 percent) are extremely interested in the election. Also at stake is Arizona's role in national elections.

If she wins, her campaign could become a centrist blueprint for Democrats eager to win in deep-red Republican strongholds.

The Senate race will test that theory and may help determine whether Democrats target Arizona in the 2020 presidential election.

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